Iran-US war: Trump launching third wave of airstrikes in 24 hours as IMF warns of global energy disruption

# Analysis The escalating aerial campaign represents a critical inflection point in US-Iran hostilities that threatens to destabilize global energy markets and reshape Middle Eastern geopolitics. Iran's ability to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz—through which roughly 20% of the world's oil passes—means that even containable military exchanges risk triggering cascading economic damage; the IMF's warning suggests markets are already pricing in the possibility of sustained supply shocks that could drive oil prices sharply higher and cool economic growth worldwide. The compressed timeline of three strikes in 24 hours indicates the conflict is moving faster than diplomatic off-ramps can be constructed, narrowing the window for de-escalation and increasing the likelihood of Iranian retaliation that could trigger yet another cycle of strikes. For businesses dependent on stable energy costs, supply chains routing through the Persian Gulf, or exposure to Middle Eastern assets, this represents a direct and immediate operational risk rather than an abstract geopolitical concern.